Part 1. Introduction Governing and probing the future : the politics and science of prevision / Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty Part 2. Academic perspectives on future-oriented policy-making Imagined worlds : the politics of future-making in the 21st century / Sheila Jasanoff How to know the future and the past (and how not) : a pragmatist perspective on foresight and hindsight / Gunther Hellmann Future thinking and cognitive distortions : key questions that guide forecasting processes / Michael C. Horowitz Thinking historically : a guide for policy / Francis J. Gavin From predicting to forecasting : uncertainties, scenarios, and their (un-)intended side effects / Myriam Dunn Cavelty

Part 3. Empirical perspectives across policy fields Uncertainty and precariousness at the policy-science interface : three cases of climate-driven adaptation / Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk The anticipative medicalization of life : governing future risk and uncertainty in (global) health / Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health / Ursula Jasper Crisis, what crisis? Uncertainty, risk, and financial markets / Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson Imagining future biothreats : the role of popular culture / Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer Forecasting civil war and political violence / Corinne Bara Predicting nuclear weapons proliferation / Jonas Schneider"We do that once per day : cyclical futures and institutional ponderousness in predictive policing / Matthias Leese Part 4. Conclusion The politics and science of the future : assembling future knowledge and integrating it into public policy / Politics and Science of the Futurre: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy andGovernanceWenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jaspe

"This book inquires into the use of prediction at the intersection of politics and academia, and reflects upon the implications of future-oriented policymaking across different fields. The volume focuses on the key intricacies and fallacies of prevision in a time of complexity, uncertainty and unpredictability. The first part of the book discusses different academic perspectives and contributions to future-oriented policymaking. The second part discusses the role of future knowledge in decision-making across different empirical issues such as climate, health, finance, bio- and nuclear weapons, civil war, and crime. It analyses how prediction is integrated into public policy and governance, and how in return governance structures influence the making of knowledge about the future. Contributors integrate two analytical dimensions in their chapters- the epistemology of prevision and the political and ethical implications of prevision. In this way, the volume contributes to a better understanding of the complex interaction and feedback loops between the processes of creating knowledge about the future and the application of this future knowledge in public policy and governance. This book will be of much interest to students of security studies, political science, sociology, technology studies and IR"-- Provided by publisher.

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