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The signal and the noise : the art and science of prediction / Nate Silver.

By: Silver, Nate, 1978- [author.]Material type: TextTextPublisher: London : Penguin Books, 2013Description: 534 pages : illustrations (black and white), maps (black and white) ; 20 cmContent type: text | still image | cartographic image Media type: unmediated Carrier type: volumeISBN: 9780141975658 (pbk.) :Subject(s): ForecastingDDC classification: 303.4'9 Summary: Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In 'The signal and the noise', New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world.
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Item type Current library Home library Shelving location Class number Status Date due Barcode Item reservations
Book Book Paul Hamlyn Library Paul Hamlyn Library Floor 1 303.49 SIL (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 05874130
Book Book Paul Hamlyn Library Paul Hamlyn Library Floor 1 303.49 SIL (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 05874149
Book Book Paul Hamlyn Library Paul Hamlyn Library Floor 1 303.49 SIL (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 05874157
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Originally published: New York: Penguin, 2012.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In 'The signal and the noise', New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world.

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